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XIV

ŏńŐňńŕŎŋńŌŁ

łĶ ʼnńŔŁŊŁňŎ

Ŏ őœŌŒŎŌňőŋŎő ŋńŒŁōœ ŁŌńōŁŐŒņŒŸŌ ńŏňŕńňŐņőńŸŌ

Ÿő ¨ńœŒńŐŎŃńŌņő őœŌńŏńňŁ Œņő ¨ņŋňŎœŐŃňŁő Œņő ʼnŎňŌņő

ńŏňŕńňŐņőņő

1. ņ ŢŪśŠŤŮŤ ŧŞŦ Ť ŞũůŦ—ŢůŹ›ŦŮŤ ůūŰ űŞŦũū—ŚũūŰ ůŴũ spillover

effects

............................................................................................................... 29

(i) ŏŧŨŬŪŬ—ŧŨŜ ţūŜšťůť Ũşŧ ů›ŬűŢşŧŸŰťŰş

................................................... 29

(ii) łŪŰŧ—ţŰź›ŧůť ŲşŧŪŬ—śŪŬű

........................................................................ 33

(iii) ŒŹšŨŭŧůť ŲşŧŪŬ—śŪŬű —ţ ŰŬ ŚŭŦŭŬ 101 ŒŋŅŅ

...................................... 35

2. ŒŞ ۛūŧŢŜ—ŢũŞ ůūŰ ŮŰũůūũŦٗūŸ

.............................................................. 37

(i) Ň śŪŪŬŧş ŰŵŪ “şŪţūŚŭŰťŰŵŪ ţ›ŧųţŧŭŜůţŵŪ”

........................................... 37

(ii) Őŭşš—şŰŧŨŬŝ Ŝ ŢűŪťŰŧŨŬŝ şŪŰşšŵŪŧůۜ٠Ŝ —ť şŪŰşšŵŪŧůŰśŮ

................ 38

3. O Ţũůū›Ŧٗŷŭ ůŴũ ŞŠūŬŹũ šŬŞŮůŤŬŦū›ūŜŤŮŤŭ

..................................... 39

(i) ť ű›ŬŴŜŲŧş šŧş ůűŪŰŬŪŧů—Ÿ şšŬŭŚ ›ŭŬŶŸŪŰŬŮ

....................................... 40

(ii) Ň ű›ŬŴŜŲŧş šŧş ůűŪŰŬŪŧů—Ÿ šţŵšŭşŲŧŨŜ şšŬŭŚ

................................. 43

(ii.ş) Ň šţŵšŭşŲŧŨŜ şšŬŭŚ ŰŵŪ —ťŰŭŧŨźŪ

................................................. 43

(ii.Š) Ň ůűůųśŰŧůť ۝٠šţŵšŭşŲŧŨŜŮ şšŬŭŚŮ ŰŵŪ —ťŰŭŧŨźŪ

śŪşŪŰŧ ۝٠ŨŬŧŪŜŮ

................................................................................. 45

4. Ŏ ŞŦůŦŹšŤŭ ŮŸũšŢٗūŭ —ŢůŞŪŸ ůŤŭ šŤ—ŦūŰŬŠŜŞŭ ůŤŭ ŧūŦũśŭ

ޛŦŲŢŜŬŤŮŤŭ ŧŞŦ ůūŰ ŮŰũůūũŦٗūŸ ůŴũ —ŤůŬŦŧŹũ

................................ 46

5. ņ ŞŪŦūŨŷŠŤŮŤ ůŤŭ ›ŦťŞũŷůŤůŞŭ ŧŞŦ ůŴũ ŧŦũśůŬŴũ

ŮŰũůūũŦٗūŸ ůŴũ —ŤůŬŦŧŹũ - ŒŞ ŧŬŦůśŬŦŞ ›ūŰ ŮŰũŤŠūŬūŸũ

ۛŚŬ ŧŞŦ ŧŞůř

................................................................................................. 49

(i) ŌţŭŝŢŧş şšŬŭŚŮ

........................................................................................... 49

(ii) Ŕ›ŚŭųŬűůş ŢŬ—Ŝ şšŬŭŚŮ

.......................................................................... 52

(iii) ¨Ŭ—ŧŨŜ şũũşšŜ ›Ŭű ţ›ŧŲśŭţŧ ůŰťŪ şšŬŭŚ ť Ţť—ŧŬűŭšŝş

۝٠ŨŬŧŪŜŮ ţ›ŧųţŝŭťůťŮ

............................................................................. 53

(iv) ŔŲŧůŰŚ—ţŪţŮ Ũşŧ Ţť—ŧŬűŭšŬŹ—ţŪţŮ ůųśůţŧŮ —ţŰşūŹ ŰŵŪ —ťŰŭŧŨźŪ

.... 55

(v) ŌśšţŦŬŮ şšŬŭŚŮ ŨŬŧŪŜŮ ţ›ŧųţŝŭťůťŮ

...................................................... 57

(vi) Œ›ŬűŢşŧŸŰťŰş ŢŭşůŰťŭŧŸŰťŰşŮ ŨŬŧŪŜŮ ţ›ŧųţŝŭťůťŮ

............................. 58

(vii) ŕŹůť Ũşŧ ųşŭşŨŰťŭŧůŰŧŨŚ ŰŬű ›ŭŬŶŸŪŰŬ٠۝٠ŨŬŧŪŜŮ ţ›ŧųţŝŭťůťŮ

Ŝ / Ũşŧ ŰŵŪ —ťŰŭŧŨźŪ

................................................................................ 61

(viii) łšŬŭşůŰśŮ

................................................................................................ 63

(ix) ņŜŰťůť Ũşŧ ŐŭŬůŲŬŭŚ

.............................................................................. 64